We just published our latest decision playbook: Acute Enrollment Decline.
This is a different problem than early-stage softening (published last week), and far more disruptive.
When enrollment drops 7–15% in 1–2 years, districts don’t have time to adjust gradually. Structural decisions get forced within a single budget cycle.
We analyzed 55 U.S. school districts and identified four distinct response pathways:
immediate closure and consolidation
workforce retrenchment
portfolio redesign
delay and deferral
Access the full briefing and playbook here (free for now)
We’ll be releasing a new one each week.
Have suggestions or feedback? Ideas or questions? We’d love to hear from you. [email protected]
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